Where should you pick the Philadelphia Eagles Michael Vick in your upcoming fantasy football draft? This is a very good question and the Professor of Fantasy Sports will provide you with a very good answer.
The challenges in assessing where to rank Vick among quarterbacks are two-fold. First, there was a substantial decrease in production from 2010 to 2011. His total touchdown production decreased from 30 to 19 while his interceptions increased from 6 to 14. Both of these are significant changes. So from this perspective, the question is which Vick will we get in 2012? Will we get the 2010 vintage or the 2011 vintage?
The second challenge is the question of durability. With his age of 32 and short stature, is Vick still able to play the same style of play that made him so productive in the past? Last year he suffered head, hand and rib injuries. Will he have to learn to just stay in the pocket and not take off and run at the first opportunity? Is he too short to be an effective pocket passer?
I was lucky enough to have Vick on my fantasy team in 2010 when he took over when Kevin Kolb went down. He put up monster numbers and helped me to win the league championship. Vick ended that season being the sixth most productive passer in Yahoo! leagues. But in 2011 he dropped down to number 12 among quarterbacks.
So how about 2012? Certainly we can’t expect him to break into the elite tier of Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, and Tom Brady. In one recent FoxSports mock draft, Vick was the sixth quarterback off the board and went in the second round. I don’t know what these guys were thinking, but this is far too early to be taking Vick. I can assure you that managers who took top running backs instead will be very happy they did so.
A popular fantasy sports writer has Vick ranked sixth among quarterbacks, which does match the mock draft above. Similarly, Yahoo! has him rated sixth among quarterbacks as well. However, in the league that I run, his fantasy point production is projected to be 11th among quarterbacks, which is difficult to square with the ranking as the sixth quarterback. But my league puts a pretty heavy penalty on an interception, so that is a possible explanation.
So how do we sort through all these data? Here is what I suggest. Don’t pick Vick until you have your RB1, WR1, and either RB2 or RW2 rostered. So this would mean if he is available in your fourth round, go ahead and take him. That would be a reasonable pick at that time. If you can get two RBs and two WRs rostered and he is still available in the fifth round, you might just have the winning team in your league.
Good luck in your draft and Fly Eagles Fly!