It should be clear to all Eagles fans that the team will have a new head coach next season. So let’s handicap the potential replacements, with odds on each of them. I’ll try to update the odds as the grapevine starts to heat up.
In considering candidates for an NFL head coaching job, the following data might be relevant for coaches with NFL experience:
• Years as an NFL head coach
• Year last coached
• Record as a head coach
• Super Bowls won
• Years made playoffs
• Emphasis: offense or defense
When it comes to the college ranks, we might just substitute bowl appearances with years in the playoffs. Is it better to take a person with NFL head-coaching experience with a modest record, or a hot college coach on the rise? Does the college coach even want to leave the college ranks? I have looked at some possible candidates and using these data and considerations, come up with a somewhat arbitrary “early line” of the odds of each being the next Eagles coach. And I’ve included a few words to go along with the odds, as you usually see in the tip sheets at the track.
The favorites would seem to include:
- Jon Gruden at 3-1. While Gruden and Del Rio are both under 50, Gruden’s Super Bowl win gives him the nod.
- Jack Del Rio at 4 – 1. Maybe his defensive slant could return the team to the Jim Johnson days.
The middle of the pack would seem to be:
- Bill Cowher at 6 – 1. While his history with the Steelers is legendary, he might be getting a little long in the tooth for an NFL head coaching job.
- Brian Billick at 9 – 1. The same applies for Billick.
- Brian Kelly at 9 – 1. If Notre Dame can win its last regular season game and then the BCS championship, he might become the overwhelming favorite later.
The long shots would seem to be:
- Mike Nolan at 19 – 1. His prospects are dimmed by his history of bypassing Aaron Rodgers when he had the chance to draft him.
- Brad Childress at 19 – 1. His record with the Vikings was not very impressive.
- Chip Kelly at 19 – 1. Losing to Stanford this week sunk his prospects.
- Kevin Sumlin at 19 – 1. It seems that he would want to stay at Texas A&M long enough to see the Aggies and Johnny Football contend for a national championship.
And a sentimental also-ran would be:
- Wilbert Montgomery at 99 – 1. Currently the running back coach with the Ravens, he might be a fan favorite.
So there, I have taken my crack at this. Now let’s hear your comments on my odds.